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NBA Season Projections & Playoff Odds

4/2/2026, 12:30:35 PM

To view playoff, finals, and championship odds, plus detailed team outlooks including seed projections, win distribution charts, and probability analysis:

EASTERN CONFERENCE
TeamCurrentProjectedWin %Games LeftPlayoff Odds
1
Pistons
55-2159-2372.0% 6100.0%
2
Celtics
51-2556-2668.3% 6100.0%
3
Knicks
49-2853-2964.6% 5100.0%
4
Cavaliers
47-2951-3162.2% 6100.0%
5
Hawks
44-3346-3656.1% 598.4%
6
Raptors
42-3445-3754.9% 694.6%
7
76ers
42-3444-3853.7% 679.8%
8
Heat
40-3743-3952.4% 545.7%
9
Hornets
40-3643-3952.4% 640.5%
10
Magic
40-3643-3952.4% 640.9%
11
Bucks
30-4633-4940.2% 60.0%
12
Bulls
29-4731-5137.8% 60.0%
13
Nets
18-5821-6125.6% 60.0%
14
Pacers
18-5820-6224.4% 60.0%
15
Wizards
17-5919-6323.2% 60.0%
WESTERN CONFERENCE
TeamCurrentProjectedWin %Games LeftPlayoff Odds
1
Thunder
60-1665-1779.3% 6100.0%
2
Spurs
58-1862-2075.6% 6100.0%
3
Lakers
50-2653-2964.6% 6100.0%
4
Nuggets
49-2852-3063.4% 5100.0%
5
Rockets
47-2951-3162.2% 6100.0%
6
T-Wolves
46-2950-3261.0% 799.9%
7
Suns
42-3445-3754.9% 683.2%
8
Clippers
39-3742-4051.2% 662.4%
9
Blazers
39-3842-4051.2% 537.3%
10
Warriors
36-4040-4248.8% 617.2%
11
Pelicans
25-5127-5532.9% 60.0%
12
Grizzlies
25-5126-5631.7% 60.0%
13
Mavericks
24-5226-5631.7% 60.0%
14
Jazz
21-5622-6026.8% 50.0%
15
Kings
20-5721-6125.6% 50.0%

Team Advancement Probabilities

Visualize each team's likelihood of reaching different playoff rounds. The size of each team's "orbit" scales with their Championship odds. Hover over a team for details (full odds available to subscribers).

Team Playoff Orbits

Round 2
Conf Finals
NBA Finals
Win Title
Orbit size scaled by Championship Odds
OKC

Oklahoma City Thunder

BOS

Boston Celtics

CLE

Cleveland Cavaliers

SAS

San Antonio Spurs

NYK

New York Knicks

DET

Detroit Pistons

DEN

Denver Nuggets

LAL

Los Angeles Lakers

MIN

Minnesota Timberwolves

HOU

Houston Rockets

TOR

Toronto Raptors

PHX

Phoenix Suns

LAC

LA Clippers

PHI

Philadelphia 76ers

MIA

Miami Heat

CHA

Charlotte Hornets

ORL

Orlando Magic

GSW

Golden State Warriors

ATL

Atlanta Hawks

POR

Portland Trail Blazers

Round 2
Conf Finals
NBA Finals
Win Title
Orbit size scaled by Championship Odds
Subscribe to see full details for all teams.

Most Likely Playoff Bracket

This bracket shows the most probable first-round matchups based on projected seeding, including simulated play-in results. Series win odds are shown for each matchup (full advancement odds available to subscribers).

Team 2nd RoundConf FinalsFinalsTitle
Oklahoma City Thunder------------
Boston Celtics------------
Cleveland Cavaliers------------
San Antonio Spurs------------
New York Knicks------------
Detroit Pistons------------
Denver Nuggets------------
Los Angeles Lakers------------
Minnesota Timberwolves------------
Houston Rockets------------
Toronto Raptors------------
Phoenix Suns------------
LA Clippers------------
Philadelphia 76ers------------
Miami Heat------------
Charlotte Hornets------------
Orlando Magic------------
Golden State Warriors------------
Atlanta Hawks------------
Portland Trail Blazers------------
Subscribe to see round-by-round advancement odds.