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NBA Season Projections & Playoff Odds

11/1/2025, 9:30:40 AM

To view playoff, finals, and championship odds, plus detailed team outlooks including seed projections, win distribution charts, and probability analysis:

EASTERN CONFERENCE
TeamCurrentProjectedWin %Games LeftPlayoff Odds
1
Knicks
2-351-3162.2% 7799.2%
2
Celtics
3-350-3261.0% 7698.3%
3
Bucks
4-148-3458.5% 7795.5%
4
Heat
3-246-3656.1% 7789.7%
5
Pistons
3-243-3952.4% 7777.2%
6
Cavaliers
3-343-3952.4% 7677.1%
7
Magic
2-441-4150.0% 7663.1%
8
Bulls
5-040-4248.8% 7762.5%
9
Hawks
3-339-4347.6% 7656.7%
10
76ers
4-139-4347.6% 7756.3%
11
Pacers
0-532-5039.0% 7711.2%
12
Raptors
2-431-5137.8% 7610.6%
13
Hornets
2-329-5335.4% 772.7%
14
Nets
0-521-6125.6% 770.0%
15
Wizards
1-420-6224.4% 770.0%
WESTERN CONFERENCE
TeamCurrentProjectedWin %Games LeftPlayoff Odds
1
Thunder
6-065-1779.3% 76100.0%
2
Clippers
3-260-2273.2% 77100.0%
3
Rockets
2-257-2569.5% 7899.9%
4
Nuggets
3-255-2767.1% 7799.6%
5
Warriors
4-253-2964.6% 7698.6%
6
Lakers
4-247-3557.3% 7687.1%
7
Spurs
5-044-3853.7% 7777.5%
8
T-Wolves
2-341-4150.0% 7756.5%
9
Blazers
4-239-4347.6% 7646.3%
10
Grizzlies
3-336-4643.9% 7626.0%
11
Suns
2-429-5335.4% 764.6%
12
Jazz
2-328-5434.1% 772.1%
13
Kings
1-427-5532.9% 771.1%
14
Mavericks
2-325-5730.5% 770.5%
15
Pelicans
0-522-6026.8% 770.1%

Team Advancement Probabilities

Visualize each team's likelihood of reaching different playoff rounds. The size of each team's "orbit" scales with their Championship odds. Hover over a team for details (full odds available to subscribers).

Team Playoff Orbits

Round 2
Conf Finals
NBA Finals
Win Title
Orbit size scaled by Championship Odds
OKC

Oklahoma City Thunder

LAC

LA Clippers

CLE

Cleveland Cavaliers

DEN

Denver Nuggets

HOU

Houston Rockets

NYK

New York Knicks

BOS

Boston Celtics

MIL

Milwaukee Bucks

GSW

Golden State Warriors

MIA

Miami Heat

ORL

Orlando Magic

LAL

Los Angeles Lakers

SAS

San Antonio Spurs

DET

Detroit Pistons

MIN

Minnesota Timberwolves

ATL

Atlanta Hawks

POR

Portland Trail Blazers

PHI

Philadelphia 76ers

CHI

Chicago Bulls

MEM

Memphis Grizzlies

IND

Indiana Pacers

TOR

Toronto Raptors

PHX

Phoenix Suns

CHA

Charlotte Hornets

UTA

Utah Jazz

DAL

Dallas Mavericks

Round 2
Conf Finals
NBA Finals
Win Title
Orbit size scaled by Championship Odds
Subscribe to see full details for all teams.

Most Likely Playoff Bracket

This bracket shows the most probable first-round matchups based on projected seeding, including simulated play-in results. Series win odds are shown for each matchup (full advancement odds available to subscribers).

Team 2nd RoundConf FinalsFinalsTitle
Oklahoma City Thunder------------
LA Clippers------------
Cleveland Cavaliers------------
Denver Nuggets------------
Houston Rockets------------
New York Knicks------------
Boston Celtics------------
Milwaukee Bucks------------
Golden State Warriors------------
Miami Heat------------
Orlando Magic------------
Los Angeles Lakers------------
San Antonio Spurs------------
Detroit Pistons------------
Minnesota Timberwolves------------
Atlanta Hawks------------
Portland Trail Blazers------------
Philadelphia 76ers------------
Chicago Bulls------------
Memphis Grizzlies------------
Indiana Pacers------------
Toronto Raptors------------
Phoenix Suns------------
Charlotte Hornets------------
Utah Jazz------------
Dallas Mavericks------------
Subscribe to see round-by-round advancement odds.